Everything shows that the Turkish military action in Northern Syria, and specifically in Tel Rifat, will be limited in scope and completely demarcated by Russia-Iran-Assad, a fact that means a lot …
“Critical development before the Turkish operation – Russia has left”, is the headline of the Turkish media whose main points are the following:
“As the Turkish Armed Forces launched a countdown to the operation against terrorist targets in Manbij and Tel Rifat in northern Syria, Russian troops withdrew their troops from the area of operations to Aleppo.
As Turkey continues its preparations to eliminate the terrorist threat in the region, a critical move has come from Russia. According to a Sabah report, regime soldiers and Russian soldiers involved in PKK / YPG patrols in Tel Rifat have withdrawn from the area.
The Russian troops, who evacuated their headquarters, deployed to areas under the control of regime soldiers in the areas near Aleppo. The Syrian army had raised regime flags in a number of PKK / YPG-held military areas. The terrorists were hiding behind regime flags.
While reinforcements continue in the area, there are occasional “hot episodes”. Turkish artillery and shells hit targets in Manbij and Tel Rifat.
While the Turkish Armed Forces await the operation, PKK / YPG terrorists continue to dig tunnels and trenches in Manbij and Tel Rifat.
Turning the occupied territories into points of resistance, the terrorists dug tunnels hundreds of kilometers long in Manbij and Tel Rifat.
Local sources said the tunnels dug in the front line were large enough for military vehicles to enter and hide. Numerous underground warehouses and ammunition depots were also built in the area.
PKK / YPG members dug tunnels for miles in Afrin, which they had occupied for years, and even offices were found in many tunnels.
The conditions that will be created for the return of Syrian refugees to their country will be the main topic of the 18th conversation based on the Astana Agreement on Syria, which will start tomorrow in Nur Sultan, the capital of Kazakhstan.
As guarantors of the Astana Agreement, delegations from Turkey, Russia and Iran will meet tomorrow with the Syrian regime and the military opposition.
At these meetings, the parties will discuss issues such as the provision of conditions for the return of Syrian refugees, the humanitarian and socio-economic situation in Syria, the work of the Constitutional Commission in Geneva, confidence-building measures, the release of hostages and the search for missing persons. . ”
It is clear from the above that Russia conditionally gives Erdogan the approval for the invasion of the Turkish army in Syria, confirming our earlier article-assessment.
In particular, we point out that the recent Lavrov-Tsavousoglu meeting had the potential to give Moscow permission for Erdogan to attack Tel Rifat, which is under the control of Iranian militias, and therefore Iran is entering the “equation”.
This makes sense from the point of view that when Putin repatriated his military forces from Syria to engage them in the war with Ukraine, he left the keys of his military bases in Iran and Hezbollah and can therefore negotiate with them. However, we are moved by the fact that Erdogan is seeking US-Russian approval in order to invade Syria again to hit the YPG Kurds, and only west of the Euphrates. This, of course, contrasts with the full-blown Turkish rhetoric about an impending attack on Syria, without the Turks asking anyone.
Finally, regarding the conditions under which Russia gives the green light to the Turks for an attack on Tel Rifat, they are the ones that will be discussed in Nur Sultan, the capital of Kazakhstan, in order to avoid a “accidental” clash between the Turkish military forces. -Iran-Syria (of Assad) and misunderstandings.
Commonly, the Turkish military action in Northern Syria, and specifically in Tel Rifat, will already be fully demarcated by Russia-Iran-Assad.
Finally, if we come to the Greek-Turkish but also to the Turkey-NATO relations, we point out that the fact that Turkey is still successfully negotiating even now with Russia and Iran in Syria and not with the US and the West is of particular importance. to which it is supposed to belong.
Commonly, the Turkish stance on the non-acceptance of Finland and Sweden to join NATO, combined with the unbridled aggression against Greece, pushes the situation to the extreme, playing the game and serving Putin’s interests, since on the one hand Erdogan does not allows the expansion of the Alliance to the north with the accession of the 2 Scandinavian countries to it, on the other hand shows the will to dismantle the SE wing of NATO, coming into military confrontation with Greece, which it constantly provokes.
You mean these two are in Russia’s interest and in no way NATO-US-EU.
I conclude by pointing out that the new Turkish invasion of Syria will be of limited duration and objectives and in full consultation with Russia-Iran-Assad, a fact that will not bind Turkey militarily in the region in terms of forces and means, so that it can not act elsewhere.
Commonly for the above reasons, the impending Turkish attack on Syria will not be a brake for Erdogan to attack Greece.
