What weaknesses is Erdogan trying to hide with his missile test? "Typhoon" and exercise "Free fire-2022";


Special Analysis

In our recent article entitled, “The Turks are out of control! With the Typhoon we can now hit Athens and all of Greece”, we referred at length to the Turkish publications and lionization regarding the successful launch of the short-range ballistic missile against the Turks ” Tayfun”, capable of hitting targets throughout the Greek territory.

A publication of the Turkiye newspaper specifically stated that, “The domestic missile “Tayfun” hit the target at a distance of 561 km with an accurate hit. Great pride in our defense. The indigenous rocket developed by Roketsan was also tested in Rize. “Tayfun” achieved its goal with a range that can hit all parts of Greece”, thus adapting the news to the “pro-war” climate against our country.

The publication presents a map with the range and “capabilities” of the new ballistic missile, which includes not only Greece, but also other neighboring countries of Turkey such as Bulgaria, Cyprus, Syria, Lebanon, Israel, Iraq and Armenia.

Also according to a pro-Erdogan media article, “the Turkish Armed Forces demonstrated their firepower in a military exercise on Tuesday, as all weapon systems hit their targets at the location in the capital Ankara”, which mentions among others:

“The Free Fire-2022 exercise was attended by the Minister of National Defense Hulusi Akar, the Chief of the General Defense Forces General Yasar Guler, the Commander of the Land Forces Musa Avsever, the Commander of the Naval Forces Adm. Ercument Tatlioglu and the Commander of the Air Force General Atilla Gulan.

At least 825 personnel from the military branches and special forces took part in the joint exercise, aimed at demonstrating the firepower of the Turkish Armed Forces and demonstrating the capability of the weapons in their arsenal, while improving fire support coordination.

The event featured 39 weapons and weapon systems, including F-16 fighter jets, T-129 ATAK helicopters and T-155 Firtina (Storm) howitzers.

The “Free fire-2022″ exercise was attended by the military attachés of various countries in Ankara, including Greece, Ukraine, Russia and the USA.”

What is Erdogan up to and what is he trying to hide?

After the above, the question arises. What does Erdogan want with these military shows?

And we say show, since, for example, in the “Free fire-2022” exercise that took place in Ankara, shots were fired by land and air means and not naval forces, so that it was necessary for the Turkish Commander of the Naval Forces to be present.

More than the above, the call to attend it, the AKAM of various countries, including the USA-Greece-Russia-Ukraine, has as a common message, that everyone can see the achievements of the Turkish military industry and be irrefutable witnesses to this.

Of course, the recipient of these shows is the Turkish people, who in a very difficult economic period, will have to see the achievements of Erdogan’s leader, on the test field.

And all this in view of October 29, where it is the Anniversary of the Turkish Republic and therefore we should prepare for even bigger shows from Erdogan’s side.

But beyond that, Erdogan’s communication shows try to carefully hide Turkey’s very basic weaknesses, which are its poor air defense compared to Greece’s and its daily declining air power compared to Greece’s increasing air power.

Turkish air defense today

In the current phase, the Turkish air defense of Turkey is extremely weak and problematic, but even in the case of the realization of the Turkish dreams of creating their own air defense, it will fall short of the Greek one.

The reports by many Turkish analysts about the S-400s locking down the Aegean and the SE Mediterranean depending on their class position stumbles over a simple argument.

With what anti-aircraft defenses will the heart of the Turkish military industry based in Ankara, Eskisehir and Istanbul be protected in the event, hypothetically speaking, of a Greek-Turkish conflict, when the S-400s will be deployed far from the area between these three cities?

Because of course it is understood that Turkey’s first concern will be the safeguarding of its war industry and then the Aegean and the SE Mediterranean.

Finally, it is estimated that Turkey needs 8-10 long-range arrays, such as the S-400, Patriot, or the domestic Siper, in order to fully cover its territory, which of course does not exist today.

Finally, in any case the future creation of a single anti-aircraft system at low, medium and high altitude with the domestic Turkish anti-aircraft missiles HISAR A+, HISAR O+, and SIPER respectively is something very ambitious by the Turks but at the same time something that should trouble us, since it will increase the capabilities of the poor Turkish air defense.

The extent to which Turkish anti-aircraft approaches in terms of reliability and capabilities the already known Western ones is a question.

In any case, our country with the RAFALE and F-35 will have the air advantage in the Aegean, even after the implementation of the Turks to create a “domestic air defense”.

HISAR A+, HISAR O+, SIPER

The country is now equipped with two surface-to-air missile systems of the HISAR family, the medium-range HISAR O+ which can engage targets at a distance of up to 25 km and an altitude of up to 20 km, and the short-range HISAR A+ capable of engaging targets up to 15 kilometers (9.3 miles)

At the end of August, the long-range SIPER was also tested, which the Turks say has a range of 150 kilometers, which will be an alternative to the S-400 and Patriot.

The system, which is planned to be operational in 2023, is said to eliminate all airborne threats in the most reliable way, according to the Turks.

The Turkish Air Force today

The air force of the neighbors needs modernization as it is aging day by day and renewal, which is not in sight.

Turkey, even if it hypothetically does eventually get the F-16s, won’t get them until 2028, as it will have to wait for them to go on the production line, which means it will get them in “staggered arrivals”

At the same time, Greece will have significantly strengthened its fleet by then, as it will have all the Rafales. all by 2024, 83 fully upgraded F-16 Vipers, by 2017, and will be on the cusp of acquiring F-35s

Epilogue

Greece has a very strong air defense and can intercept the Turkish “Tayfun” surface-to-surface missiles and other similar Turkish weapon systems, unlike its neighbors who do not have this capability due to their poor air defenses.

Finally, the dominance of our Air Force in the air of the Aegean and the SE Mediterranean is and will be a given.

However, vigilance and “running” is required on our part in acquiring directly armed UAVs, maritime USVs and cruise munitions.

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